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Shedding light on avoided disasters: Measuring invisible benefits of disaster risk reduction using counterfactual probabilistic analysis

This contributing paper explores the use of probabilistic counterfactual analysis to calculate and highlight the ‘probabilistic lives saved’ from disaster risk management interventions, that would otherwise remain unnoticed. The goal of Disaster Risk Management (DRM) is to ensure that society continues to function, thrive, and recover quickly despite sh…

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