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Working papers
Author(s) Sepehr Marzi Jaroslav Mysiak Luca Vernaccini et al.

Projecting effects of climate change in the framework of the INFORM Risk Index

Source
United Nations Office for Disaster Risk Reduction
Cover and title of publication
Publication Year
2022
Number of pages
28 p.

This contributing paper presents an extension of the INFORM Risk Index, a global indicator-based disaster risk assessment tool, using projections of exposure to climate change hazards to provide better insights for policymakers on the threats imposed by climate change and the extent the amplified risks can be compensated by reduced vulnerability and increased adaptive capacity measures. The study considers the RCP 8.5 high greenhouse gas concentration scenario and the SSP3 population projection for the mid-21st century.

The projections find that largest mid-century changes in climate hazard and exposure are observed in much of Europe, northern and southern Africa, South America, and western and southwestern Asia. To compensate for the increase of climate-related hazards, the countries and regions will need to invest in reducing vulnerability and increasing coping capacity. This knowledge can benefit humanitarian aid management planning and in forming effective disaster risk reduction and climate change adaptation strategies and plans.

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Related links
INFORM REPORT 2022: Shared evidence for managing crises and disasters
Integrating Climate Risks Information into NAPs
Development of a Cumulative Resilience Screening Index (crsi) for natural hazards: an assessment of resilience to acute meteorological events and selected natural hazards 2020
Integrating disaster risk reduction and climate change adaptation for risk-informed and climate-smart development
Faster and better risk indicators: Introducing the Next Generation Drought Index (NGDI) project
Themes
Climate Change
Risk Identification & Assessment

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